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Don't worry too much. This whole thing is going to blow over just like all the other flus. Its just another panic. You and your family will be fine ^^b

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well i hope so

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too  bad its cloudy here

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One of our local photographers knocked it out of the park with this one. 

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Noice

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My brother comes to visit here in the next day or so, I wonder if he'll make us go outside and do things. * introvert alarm noises *

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best to do things indoor, idk a game of monopoly or uno or something

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i cant play monopoly with my family. we will kill each other lol. Plus they know its my favorite board game so they refuse to play cause i always win.

Clue is fun tho. 

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Posted (edited)


The official account of the coronavirus hides a systemic crisis

corona-imagen.jpg
 

"The new coronavirus (SARS-Cov-2) has many faces. The health-related facet has been thoroughly examined, or rather scrutinized, by the media for weeks. From the last week of January to the time of this writing, on March 9, the coronavirus has knownly infected more than 114,000 people in more than 100 countries, has killed more than 4,000 individuals, and is more Several thousand more deaths are likely to swell the account in the coming weeks or months in what is already expected to be a pandemic.

Without a doubt, it is a serious health problem, but not the most important, perhaps not even the most urgent. An example of this is the case fatality rate, estimated at 3.4%, which can be compared with 11% for SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome) or 34% for MERS (respiratory syndrome in the Middle East ). Let's also think that every day in Spain more than 1,100 people die from very different causes, and that the common flu causes between 6,000 and 15,000 deaths annually in our country. We do not know how many people are infected with the coronavirus, but it seems very likely that a high percentage of cases will go unnoticed, with inadvertent or unrecorded symptoms, which would imply that the actual case fatality rate would be considerably lower than that registered so far.

This does not mean, however, that the coronavirus is not a relevant or even worrying health issue.

Firstly, the mortality generated by COVID-19 in the most advanced age groups or in people with previous pathology is high (about 15% in those over 80 years of age) and its morbidity and general health impairment may be important. .

Second, it is highly contagious, which generates a prominent public health problem in many countries and potentially for all. China, South Korea, Japan, Iran and Italy are the most affected so far. And although the risk of mortality is low, given that the potential number of those affected could be very high, this could lead to a very high total death count.

And third, the impact of the epidemic on the health system can be very relevant for various reasons: the incubation period in which people are contagious is five days; the number of cases is exponential; a high percentage will require hospitalization either due to their clinical situation, surveillance or isolation; patients will need to be isolated until they are no longer contagious, requiring fine-tuned screening systems, a high volume of sample processing at referral centers, and integrated governance of clinical and public health decisions to identify patients screened, placed quarantined and whether this should be done at home or in a hospital center.

Furthermore, an important part of the work of many Spanish health professionals is being dedicated to addressing the ongoing emergency. To this is added that health personnel are the most exposed group and at the same time the one with the greatest risk of infecting particularly vulnerable individuals against infection, so the overload is twofold.

Scientific societies of different medical specialties have produced joint protocols and very valuable information documents. However, the complexity and cost associated with these exceptional measures are high and pose a high stress for the health system, which translates into a not insignificant risk of overflow or even collapse if hospitals act as the main risk for a long period of time. containment of the epidemic.

Finally, the likelihood that, at least in the short term, it is a “recurring” epidemic that can recur every year is also a cause for concern. It seems likely that SARS-CoV-2 is here to stay, and that it remains among the viruses that routinely affect humanity as it did with influenza A.

Furthermore, epidemics of similar origin to the current coronavirus may appear, or even much more serious, which could generate a pandemic with much higher global mortality. It should not be forgotten that the cause of the current epidemic outbreak – and of previous ones such as SARS-CoV in 2002, avian influenza (H5N1) in 2003, swine flu (H1N1) in 2009, MERS-CoV in 2012, Ebola in 2013 or the Zyka (ZIKV) in 2015) – lies, to a large extent, in the complex transmission through animals related to the development of intensive agriculture and poultry farming and a growing market and consumption of wild and exotic animals. Added to this is the current capacity to spread epidemics due to the lack of hygiene and adequate resources invested in public health, urban density, and tourism globalization, among other factors. (one).

Globalization has transformed the relationship between humans and viruses, where the local is global and the global is local. And many countries do not have effective public health systems to meet the challenges that arise, nor is there an appropriate global public health system. (two).

In any case, most of the countries with effective public health resources and that have applied drastic measures, such as China, where the city of Wuhan, with 11 million inhabitants, in the Hubei region (58 million), has been since late January in a draconian quarantine, or Japan that has closed schools for weeks, or Italy and Spain that are progressively expanding the territory of control and containment of the coronavirus, should be able to contain the epidemic in a relatively short time, thus avoiding the impact in collective health it worsens over time.

A very different situation can occur in many poor countries, with very weak health systems and with very poor social determinants of health (poverty, urban overcrowding, faulty or non-existent waste water systems, negligence of the pharmaceutical industry, weak public health systems , poor diets, etc). This is the case in many African countries, where the risk of the epidemic causing very notable or even extreme damage is high.

But if the public health problem is not necessarily as extremely alarming as it is portrayed in the media, then why is this epidemic treated as an issue that deserves almost exclusive attention and is followed up in real time? COVID-19 is not only a global health problem, but also a problem with other interconnected faces of an economic, ecological and social nature. These make it, in fact, a systemic and political problem on which to reflect.

From the economic point of view, according to numerous analysts, consultants or auditors such as Deloitte, the IMF, or the OECD (3), the epidemic has contributed to slowing down the economy, generating slower growth and a decrease in production, trade, consumption, tourism and transportation, or even the fall in stock markets. Factories and businesses close; Millions of people do not make their regular trips; teleworking, video conferencing or the possibility of greater local production are promoted to protect supply chains; in addition to a sharp rise in the prices of products such as disinfectant gels or masks. In an economy as interdependent, chaotic and fragile as capitalism, where uncertainty, speculation and the constant search for profit are essential, the complex future systemic consequences are unknown, but everything points to the possibility of a close and serious economic recession .

From an ecological point of view, closely connected to the economy, the economic slowdown has reduced the consumption of fossil fuels, the emission of CO2 and air pollution. For example, in China oil consumption and gas emissions have been reduced significantly by 25%. The same will happen in many other countries.

Its evident negative effects on health, society and the economy, in the short term, are beneficial for the climate and ecological crisis, and perhaps also for health, in the medium term.

The impact of the coronavirus epidemic may seem paradoxical: its obvious negative effects on health, society and the economy, in the short term, are beneficial for the climate and ecological crisis, and perhaps also for health, in the medium term. As in any economic crisis, stopping industrial activity and transport reduces mortality and morbidity associated with accidents at work, traffic, environmental pollution, etc.

This apparent paradox is cleared when it is understood that the logic of exponential growth and many of the characteristic developments of capitalism are highly detrimental to the planet's homeostasis and social development and, therefore, to collective health.

From a social point of view, we are facing a panic epidemic, the origin of which we can trace in some of its essential characteristics: it is not a highly lethal epidemic but it is new and of an origin not yet fully clarified; we cannot predict its evolution, which creates great uncertainty; there is no effective treatment or vaccine; It has spread rapidly in the richest countries on the planet and, surely, in all kinds of social classes; The media and social networks have magnified their impact among a population that is mostly risk phobic; The epidemic is an opportunity to degrade and isolate China, while locally generating racist and xenophobic responses.

But, in addition, the COVID-19 crisis raises two additional important issues. On the one hand, the essential role of governments, services and public research to control in a coordinated way both the epidemic itself and a probable 'authoritarian epidemic', visible in China with extreme surveillance and control measures to detect cases of unnoticed infection and the application of non-transparent, if not directly repressive, restrictive measures. The lack of clarity in the information disseminated is also reflected in a blind media of immediacy, tied to the power of large corporations, seeking an audience through immediate emotional impact and entertainment, and unable to convey a critical and systemic diagnosis of what what happen.

Secondly, the current coronavirus med media epidemic ’represents an opportunity cost, in a sense well known to many politicians: when you do not want to talk about a topic that bothers you, your attention is diverted by talking about another (4). Examples of this are the Clinton attacks in Sudan and Afghanistan to cover their affair with Monica Lewinsky, or the release by Berlusconi of politicians on corruption charges the same day that Italy qualified for the final of the soccer world cup. By talking almost exclusively about the coronavirus for so many weeks we are not talking about other much more serious problems that go unnoticed. As the philosopher Santiago Alba Rico has pointed out: “Since Covid-19 exists, nothing happens anymore. There are no more heart attacks or dengue or cancer or other flu or bombings or refugees or terrorism or anything. There is no longer, of course, climate change. ” Or also the economist Fernando Luengo by saying that there is no longer talk of the “high indebtedness of private nonfinancial corporations, the umbilical cord that links central bank policy to large banks and corporations”, or “the increase in inequality, wage repression” Nor the drama of “the refugees in Lesbos, crushed by the Greek police and the extreme right”, or “the murders of women”. Nor, of course, is there any talk of the atrocious ecological crisis that we are experiencing, which endangers life on the planet and the very existence of humanity, or the massive job insecurity suffered by billions of people in the world, including the Italian researchers from the University of Milan and the Sacco Hospital who isolated the coronavirus strain.

COVID-19 is a complex trigger for the systemic crisis of capitalism, in which all of the above factors are strongly interconnected, without being separable from each other. Everything seems to indicate that this epidemic may represent an ideal occasion to justify the capitalist economic crisis that seems to be approaching. (5). Fear produces a sharp drop in demand, which lowers the price of oil, which reverts to the emergency of a crisis announced so far. Most likely, the coronavirus is not the only one responsible for the falls in the stock markets, as it is said, nor for a slowed capitalist economy, with corporate profits and industrial investment stagnant, but rather the spark of a postponed economic crisis where The poor health of the economy predates the epidemic.

As several critical economists have pointed out, such as Alejandro Nadal, Eric Toussaint or Michael Roberts (6)Although the stock markets are unpredictable, all the factors of a new financial crisis have been around since at least 2017. The coronavirus would be just the spark of a financial explosion but not its main cause. (7). In addition, the role of the giant shareholders (investment funds such as BlackRock and Vanguard, large banks, industrial companies, and billionaires) in the stock market destabilization experienced in recent weeks should not be underestimated. These agents would thus reap the benefits of recent years and avoid losses, investing in the safest but least profitable public debt securities, and demanding that governments once again use public resources to mitigate economic losses.

The propaganda of the big economic and media groups hides the reality and prevents an adequate understanding of what is happening. Transforming the complex social structure of a train without brakes, such as capitalism, requires imagining a different society and making a radical change with systemic global policies in ecology, economy and health that design and experiment with alternative ways of life in a productive and productive model. fairer, homeostatic, simple and healthy consumption. A necessary first step is not to deceive ourselves with the incomplete, emotional or toxic information in the hegemonic media account of the coronavirus and to try to understand the systemic crisis it hides."

Joan Benach is a professor, researcher and public health worker (Grup Recerca Desigualtats en Salut, Greds-Emconet, UPF, JHU-UPF Public Policy Center), GinTrans2 (Transdisciplinary Research Group on Socio-ecological Transitions (UAM).

 

Notes:

(one) It occurs through a chain reaction, with positive disaster feedback, which is common in poor countries. See: Mike Davis. The Monster knocks on our door. (Translation by María Julia Bertomeu with a foreword by Antoni Domènech). Barcelona, Old Topo, 2006.

(two) Idem.

(3) The OECD warns of the possibility that Covid-19 halves global economic growth in 2020, which could go from 2.9% to 1.5 of GDP. See: Michael Roberts. Coronavirus, debt and recession. Without permission.

(4) See for example: Christenson DP Kriner DL. Mobilizing the public against the president: Congress and the political costs of unilateral action. American Journal of Political Science 2017; 61 (4): 769-785; Djourelova, M and R During (2019), Media Attention and Strategic Timing in Politics: Evidence from US Presidential Executive Orders, CEPR Discussion Paper 13961; During R, Zhuravskaya E. Attack when the world is not watching? US media and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Journal of Political Economy 2018; 126 (3): 1085-1133.

(5) Since this recession is not caused by a lack of demand but rather of supply (loss of production, investment and trade), Keynesian and monetarist solutions will not work. The main cause of stagnation is the decrease in the return on capital. Huge debt, particularly in the corporate sector, is a recipe for serious collapse if the return on capital drastically declined. The epidemic ends up weakening a financial system that has the potential to trigger a new debt crisis that could lead to the collapse of companies and the financial world. See: Michael Roberts. Coronavirus, debt and recession. Without permission.

(6) See: Eric Toussaint. No, the coronavirus is not responsible for the falls in the bags. Rebelión; Alejandro Nadal. Interest rate: Coronavirus vaccine? Without permission; Michael Roberts. G20 and COVID-19. Without permission; Michael Roberts. Coronavirus, debt and recession. Without permission.

(7) Before the appearance of the new coronavirus, disturbing indicators had already manifested themselves in the world economy, such as the reversal of the yield curve (the yields on shorter-term securities outweigh those on long-term securities), which is an indication of how bad investor expectations are. An example of this type of distortion is the different conventional evaluations of the last quarters in the stock market that reveal how this market has become cheaper in relation to the performance of 30-year bonds. And that is not a new phenomenon: the inversion of the yield curve in European markets has taken years and in recent years has been approaching record levels.

Edited by Pathway
Notes

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stay safe everyone

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don't horde them toilet paper

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Quarantined Italians are coming together all across the nation to sing songs of solidarity from their balconies and windows!
Italy’s 60 million citizens were placed under lockdown to halt the spread of a virus that has so far claimed over 1,000 lives in the country.
 

 

 

Italia, ti vogliamo bene! Tutti insieme ce la faremo!

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nice

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Meanwhile in a South American Country: coronavírus day!

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A far-right rabble-rouser who recently dismissed coronavirus as a media “fantasy”(despite reportedly being placed in isolation). 
Left his "palace" on sunday to mingle with supporters who turned out for highly controversial protests targeting institutions. 

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Total in the country: 234 confirmed cases.

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working from home LUL

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why is it so hard for people to just stay home?

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@GewenG
There are the people who are taking the threat of the spread of COVID-19 seriously, and are doing their best to prepare and socially distance themselves from others, regardless of their current health or vulnerability. And then there are those who, for whatever reason, are resolute in their belief that the disease won’t affect them in a meaningful way. 
But even if your parents or grandparents aren’t listening, keep talking...

90657158_3196077073760266_83777720552102

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Posted (edited)

well my country has deployed the army to force these people to stay home now.

i still can't believe we require army for this when its just common sense but nope, this is for their own good

Edited by GewenG

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Better safe than sorry, I guess. You can assume common sense to be not so common, that's why your higher ups aren't taking any chances.

Like for example, a small group of houses (I say that, but they're more of informal settlers who just had some leverage with our local officials; higher voting count does wonders, they even manage to buy air conditioning for crying out loud), blockaded a whole road under the pretext of enhanced quarantine. These same group of people are the ones who are usually not staying in their own homes and instead go to places here and there, increasing the chances of spreading the virus further, and nullifying the whole point of closing a road.

I guess we can just count ourselves lucky that we have a place to stay and food to eat. In a plague like this, it's not really advisable to be on the front lines and help people if you're not from the medical field as chances are high that you don't know what you're doing and might end up doing more harm than good.

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agreed

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its everywhere

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